03 · How learning succeeds and fails

Broad intuition · Study map 12 of 85

Evaluation: the scoreboard shapes the system

Suggested preparation: Generalization: learning the pattern, not the answer sheet

Picture it

One average score can hide the failures that matter. A medical detector, search engine, and chatbot need different scoreboards. Test on the users and situations the system will actually face, including rare and difficult cases.

What to understand

  • Precision/recall, thresholds, PR and ROC curves, calibration
  • Temporal/group splits, uncertainty intervals, slice metrics, online experiments

Follow the references

  1. 1 · Course

    Google · Machine Learning Crash Course ↗

    Use classification metrics and fairness sections. Move a threshold and describe who benefits and who loses.

  2. 2 · Code + guide

    EleutherAI · Language Model Evaluation Harness ↗

    Inspect task configuration and result output; identify the prompt and scoring assumptions.

Keep the distinction. Repeated tuning on a benchmark gradually turns it into training data in practice.

You understand it when…

Why can 99% accuracy be useless when only 1% of cases are positive?

This is a study map. Follow the reference for the full explanation; use the question to test your mental model. Browse the reference shelf.